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Statistics and Statistical Programming (Winter 2021)/Problem set 14
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=== PC7 Calculate an out-of-sample prediction and 95% prediction interval === What was/is the predicted vote share for Donald Trump in 2020 based on this model? The online supplement to `OpenIntro` Β§8 assigned this week provides detailed examples for how to produce a out-of-sample prediction from a regression model. Please calculate the point estimate and 95% prediction interval for the incumbent party candidate's share of the vote in 2020 given that (a [https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/xrf3t/ reasonable estimate] of) the per-capita income growth 2016-2020 is 2.5%.
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